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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Napoli Win
40%
2.47
34%
2.95
26%
3.90
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
0 – 0
11.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.21
Napoli xG
Total xG
2.13
0.92
Fiorentina xG
NapoliDrawFiorentina
2.47
40%
Home win
2.95
34%
Draw
3.90
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
63%
Over 1.5
1.59
37%
Under 1.5
2.70
36%
Over 2.5
2.78
64%
Under 2.5
1.56
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.24
55%
BTTS No
1.80
Clean Sheet
40%
2.51
30%
3.36
Win to Nil
16%
6.21
8%
13.08
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.9 | 10.9 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.4 | 13.2 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.7 | 8.0 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.211
λ Away (xG)
0.920
Total xG
2.131
League avg home goals
1.313
League avg away goals
1.231
Napoli attack strength
1.002
Napoli defence strength
0.770
Fiorentina attack strength
0.971
Fiorentina defence strength
0.921
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
65 / 65