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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Mon 14 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

57%

Napoli

1.74

26%

Draw

3.78

16%

Empoli

6.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.5%

Home win

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Napoli xG

Total xG

2.59

0.84

Empoli xG

57%
26%
16%
NapoliDrawEmpoli

1.74

57%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

6.18

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

43%

Napoli

2.31

17%

Empoli

5.74

Win to Nil

25%

Napoli

4.03

3%

Empoli

35.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 6.3 2.7 0.7 0.2
1 13.2 11.0 4.6 1.3 0.3
2 11.5 9.6 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 6.7 5.6 2.4 0.7 0.1
4 2.9 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.747
λ Away (xG) 0.839
Total xG 2.586
League avg home goals 1.249
League avg away goals 1.144
Napoli attack strength 1.103
Napoli defence strength 0.811
Empoli attack strength 0.904
Empoli defence strength 1.267
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69