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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Napoli Win
40%
2.49
33%
3.01
27%
3.75
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.0%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
0 – 0
11.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.21
Napoli xG
Total xG
2.16
0.95
Atalanta xG
NapoliDrawAtalanta
2.49
40%
Home win
3.01
33%
Draw
3.75
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.22
55%
BTTS No
1.82
Clean Sheet
39%
2.58
30%
3.36
Win to Nil
16%
6.44
8%
12.60
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.5 | 10.9 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.0 | 13.2 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.5 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.213
λ Away (xG)
0.948
Total xG
2.161
League avg home goals
1.174
League avg away goals
1.064
Napoli attack strength
1.202
Napoli defence strength
0.849
Atalanta attack strength
1.050
Atalanta defence strength
0.860
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
49 / 49