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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

14:00

Venue

U-Power Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monza Win

36%

Monza

2.80

34%

Draw

2.91

30%

Parma

3.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

12.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Monza xG

Total xG

2.11

1.00

Parma xG

36%
34%
30%
MonzaDrawParma

2.80

36%

Home win

2.91

34%

Draw

3.34

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

37%

Monza

2.71

33%

Parma

3.04

Win to Nil

13%

Monza

7.59

10%

Parma

10.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.1 12.1 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 13.5 13.5 6.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 7.5 7.5 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.8 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.112
λ Away (xG) 0.998
Total xG 2.110
League avg home goals 1.304
League avg away goals 1.244
Monza attack strength 0.679
Monza defence strength 1.082
Parma attack strength 0.742
Parma defence strength 1.256
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 28