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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

14:00

Venue

U-Power Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monza Win

38%

Monza

2.62

30%

Draw

3.39

32%

Hellas Verona

3.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Monza xG

Total xG

2.86

1.36

Hellas Verona xG

38%
30%
32%
MonzaDrawHellas Verona

2.62

38%

Home win

3.39

30%

Draw

3.10

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

26%

Monza

3.90

22%

Hellas Verona

4.45

Win to Nil

10%

Monza

10.22

7%

Hellas Verona

13.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 7.8 5.3 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 8.6 11.7 8.0 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.4 8.7 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.3
3 3.2 4.4 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.494
λ Away (xG) 1.362
Total xG 2.856
League avg home goals 1.352
League avg away goals 1.330
Monza attack strength 0.867
Monza defence strength 1.091
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.939
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.274
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60