Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

19:45

Venue

U-Power Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Empoli Win

31%

Monza

3.24

29%

Draw

3.47

40%

Empoli

2.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Monza xG

Total xG

2.42

1.31

Empoli xG

31%
29%
40%
MonzaDrawEmpoli

3.24

31%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

2.48

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

27%

Monza

3.70

33%

Empoli

3.04

Win to Nil

8%

Monza

11.99

13%

Empoli

7.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 11.6 7.6 3.3 1.1 0.3
1 9.9 12.9 8.5 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.5 7.2 4.7 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.0 2.7 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.112
λ Away (xG) 1.309
Total xG 2.421
League avg home goals 1.207
League avg away goals 1.147
Monza attack strength 0.689
Monza defence strength 1.308
Empoli attack strength 0.872
Empoli defence strength 1.337
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74