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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

U-Power Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Como Win

31%

Monza

3.25

32%

Draw

3.08

37%

Como

2.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.00

Monza xG

Total xG

2.12

1.12

Como xG

31%
32%
37%
MonzaDrawComo

3.25

31%

Home win

3.08

32%

Draw

2.72

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.28

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

33%

Monza

3.06

37%

Como

2.72

Win to Nil

10%

Monza

9.92

14%

Como

7.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 13.4 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 12.0 13.4 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 6.0 6.7 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.0 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.001
λ Away (xG) 1.117
Total xG 2.118
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 1.152
Monza attack strength 0.710
Monza defence strength 1.118
Como attack strength 0.868
Como defence strength 1.099
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 30