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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 5 Jan 2025

11:30

Venue

U-Power Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monza Win

37%

Monza

2.68

28%

Draw

3.51

34%

Cagliari

2.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Monza xG

Total xG

2.39

1.16

Cagliari xG

37%
28%
34%
MonzaDrawCagliari

2.68

37%

Home win

3.51

28%

Draw

2.93

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

31%

Monza

3.20

29%

Cagliari

3.41

Win to Nil

12%

Monza

8.56

10%

Cagliari

10.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 10.6 6.2 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.3 13.1 7.6 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 6.9 8.0 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.8 3.3 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.228
λ Away (xG) 1.162
Total xG 2.390
League avg home goals 1.324
League avg away goals 1.343
Monza attack strength 0.800
Monza defence strength 1.073
Cagliari attack strength 0.806
Cagliari defence strength 1.158
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56