Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

11:30

Venue

Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Venezia Win

33%

Lecce

3.01

33%

Draw

3.03

34%

Venezia

2.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.3%

Away win

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Lecce xG

Total xG

2.05

1.03

Venezia xG

33%
33%
34%
LecceDrawVenezia

3.01

33%

Home win

3.03

33%

Draw

2.96

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.36

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

36%

Lecce

2.80

36%

Venezia

2.76

Win to Nil

12%

Lecce

8.44

12%

Venezia

8.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.9 13.3 6.8 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 13.1 13.5 7.0 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 6.7 6.9 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.3 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.017
λ Away (xG) 1.030
Total xG 2.047
League avg home goals 1.294
League avg away goals 1.173
Lecce attack strength 0.684
Lecce defence strength 1.220
Venezia attack strength 0.719
Venezia defence strength 1.148
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 30