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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 30 Nov 2025

11:30

Venue

Stadio Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Torino Win

27%

Lecce

3.69

35%

Draw

2.84

38%

Torino

2.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.2%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.0%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.82

Lecce xG

Total xG

1.83

1.01

Torino xG

27%
35%
38%
LecceDrawTorino

3.69

27%

Home win

2.84

35%

Draw

2.66

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.70

63%

BTTS No

1.59

Clean Sheet

36%

Lecce

2.75

44%

Torino

2.27

Win to Nil

10%

Lecce

10.15

17%

Torino

6.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.0 16.2 8.2 2.8 0.7 0.1
1 13.1 13.3 6.7 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 5.4 5.4 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.819
λ Away (xG) 1.013
Total xG 1.832
League avg home goals 1.194
League avg away goals 1.125
Lecce attack strength 0.692
Lecce defence strength 0.979
Torino attack strength 0.920
Torino defence strength 0.990
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50