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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Genoa Win
28%
3.64
32%
3.11
40%
2.48
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
16.5%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
15.9%
Draw
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.80
Lecce xG
Total xG
1.84
1.04
Genoa xG
LecceDrawGenoa
3.64
28%
Home win
3.11
32%
Draw
2.48
40%
Away win
Goals Markets
55%
Over 1.5
1.82
45%
Under 1.5
2.22
28%
Over 2.5
3.57
72%
Under 2.5
1.39
11%
Over 3.5
9.09
89%
Under 3.5
1.12
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
36%
BTTS Yes
2.82
64%
BTTS No
1.55
Clean Sheet
35%
2.82
45%
2.22
Win to Nil
10%
10.26
18%
5.51
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.9 | 16.5 | 8.6 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 12.7 | 13.2 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.799
λ Away (xG)
1.037
Total xG
1.836
League avg home goals
1.219
League avg away goals
1.151
Lecce attack strength
0.715
Lecce defence strength
1.088
Genoa attack strength
0.828
Genoa defence strength
0.916
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
75 / 75