Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

11:30

Venue

Stadio Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lecce Win

43%

Lecce

2.31

32%

Draw

3.17

25%

Cremonese

3.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.1%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Lecce xG

Total xG

1.86

0.76

Cremonese xG

43%
32%
25%
LecceDrawCremonese

2.31

43%

Home win

3.17

32%

Draw

3.97

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.81

64%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

47%

Lecce

2.15

33%

Cremonese

3.01

Win to Nil

20%

Lecce

4.96

8%

Cremonese

11.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.5 11.8 4.5 1.2 0.2
1 17.1 13.0 5.0 1.3 0.2
2 9.4 7.2 2.7 0.7 0.1
3 3.4 2.6 1.0 0.3
4 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.101
λ Away (xG) 0.764
Total xG 1.865
League avg home goals 1.269
League avg away goals 1.188
Lecce attack strength 0.707
Lecce defence strength 1.054
Cremonese attack strength 0.610
Cremonese defence strength 1.226
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 27