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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 19 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cagliari Win

33%

Lecce

3.01

31%

Draw

3.21

36%

Cagliari

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.0%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.9%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.96

Lecce xG

Total xG

1.97

1.01

Cagliari xG

33%
31%
36%
LecceDrawCagliari

3.01

33%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.55

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

36%

Lecce

2.74

38%

Cagliari

2.62

Win to Nil

12%

Lecce

8.24

14%

Cagliari

7.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.9 14.0 7.1 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 13.4 13.5 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 6.5 6.5 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 2.1 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.963
λ Away (xG) 1.008
Total xG 1.971
League avg home goals 1.220
League avg away goals 1.045
Lecce attack strength 0.782
Lecce defence strength 1.133
Cagliari attack strength 0.851
Cagliari defence strength 1.009
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41