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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 9 Feb 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

18%

Lecce

5.41

27%

Draw

3.67

54%

Bologna

1.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

1 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Lecce xG

Total xG

2.89

1.86

Bologna xG

18%
27%
54%
LecceDrawBologna

5.41

18%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

1.84

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

16%

Lecce

6.40

36%

Bologna

2.81

Win to Nil

3%

Lecce

34.68

19%

Bologna

5.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 10.3 9.6 5.9 2.8 1.0
1 5.7 10.7 9.9 6.1 2.8 1.1
2 3.0 5.5 5.1 3.2 1.5 0.5
3 1.0 1.9 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.034
λ Away (xG) 1.857
Total xG 2.891
League avg home goals 1.380
League avg away goals 1.329
Lecce attack strength 0.725
Lecce defence strength 1.204
Bologna attack strength 1.161
Bologna defence strength 1.034
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 60