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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Tue 6 Jan 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadio Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

27%

Lecce

3.65

33%

Draw

3.05

40%

AS Roma

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.8%

Draw

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.78

Lecce xG

Total xG

1.78

1.01

AS Roma xG

27%
33%
40%
LecceDrawAS Roma

3.65

27%

Home win

3.05

33%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

53%

Over 1.5

1.89

47%

Under 1.5

2.13

26%

Over 2.5

3.85

74%

Under 2.5

1.35

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.92

66%

BTTS No

1.52

Clean Sheet

37%

Lecce

2.73

46%

AS Roma

2.17

Win to Nil

10%

Lecce

10.00

18%

AS Roma

5.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.8 16.9 8.5 2.9 0.7 0.1
1 13.1 13.1 6.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 5.1 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.777
λ Away (xG) 1.006
Total xG 1.783
League avg home goals 1.184
League avg away goals 1.122
Lecce attack strength 0.748
Lecce defence strength 1.013
AS Roma attack strength 0.885
AS Roma defence strength 0.877
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 56