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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

54%

Lazio

1.86

25%

Draw

3.93

21%

Torino

4.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.61

0.94

Torino xG

54%
25%
21%
LazioDrawTorino

1.86

54%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

4.83

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

39%

Lazio

2.57

19%

Torino

5.31

Win to Nil

21%

Lazio

4.78

4%

Torino

25.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 6.9 3.3 1.0 0.2
1 12.2 11.5 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.6 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.7 5.4 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.4 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.670
λ Away (xG) 0.945
Total xG 2.615
League avg home goals 1.182
League avg away goals 1.144
Lazio attack strength 1.153
Lazio defence strength 0.940
Torino attack strength 0.880
Torino defence strength 1.226
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43