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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Wed 7 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

56%

Lazio

1.78

26%

Draw

3.87

18%

Fiorentina

5.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.2%

Home win

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.26

0.73

Fiorentina xG

56%
26%
18%
LazioDrawFiorentina

1.78

56%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

5.57

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.46

59%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

48%

Lazio

2.08

22%

Fiorentina

4.59

Win to Nil

27%

Lazio

3.70

4%

Fiorentina

25.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 7.7 2.8 0.7 0.1
1 16.0 11.7 4.3 1.0 0.2
2 12.2 8.9 3.3 0.8 0.1
3 6.2 4.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
4 2.3 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.523
λ Away (xG) 0.733
Total xG 2.256
League avg home goals 1.160
League avg away goals 1.162
Lazio attack strength 1.021
Lazio defence strength 0.866
Fiorentina attack strength 0.728
Fiorentina defence strength 1.286
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56