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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

32%

Lazio

3.12

29%

Draw

3.43

39%

Fiorentina

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.85

1.50

Fiorentina xG

32%
29%
39%
LazioDrawFiorentina

3.12

32%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

22%

Lazio

4.49

26%

Fiorentina

3.86

Win to Nil

7%

Lazio

14.00

10%

Fiorentina

9.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 8.7 6.5 3.3 1.2 0.4
1 7.8 11.7 8.8 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 5.3 7.9 5.9 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 2.4 3.6 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.351
λ Away (xG) 1.501
Total xG 2.852
League avg home goals 1.358
League avg away goals 1.323
Lazio attack strength 1.128
Lazio defence strength 1.056
Fiorentina attack strength 1.074
Fiorentina defence strength 0.882
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 58