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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

38%

Lazio

2.64

30%

Draw

3.30

32%

AS Roma

3.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.48

1.18

AS Roma xG

38%
30%
32%
LazioDrawAS Roma

2.64

38%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

3.14

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

31%

Lazio

3.24

27%

AS Roma

3.68

Win to Nil

12%

Lazio

8.55

9%

AS Roma

11.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 9.8 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.9 12.8 7.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.1 8.4 4.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.1 3.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.304
λ Away (xG) 1.176
Total xG 2.480
League avg home goals 1.252
League avg away goals 1.146
Lazio attack strength 1.209
Lazio defence strength 1.116
AS Roma attack strength 0.920
AS Roma defence strength 0.861
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69