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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

19%

Lazio

5.27

23%

Draw

4.33

58%

AC Milan

1.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

0 – 2

10.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.70

1.78

AC Milan xG

19%
23%
58%
LazioDrawAC Milan

5.27

19%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

1.73

58%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

17%

Lazio

5.95

40%

AC Milan

2.49

Win to Nil

3%

Lazio

31.40

23%

AC Milan

4.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 12.0 10.7 6.4 2.9 1.0
1 6.2 11.0 9.8 5.8 2.6 0.9
2 2.8 5.0 4.5 2.7 1.2 0.4
3 0.9 1.5 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.911
λ Away (xG) 1.784
Total xG 2.695
League avg home goals 1.291
League avg away goals 1.170
Lazio attack strength 0.987
Lazio defence strength 1.130
AC Milan attack strength 1.349
AC Milan defence strength 0.715
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66