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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Allianz Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Juventus Win

59%

Juventus

1.68

21%

Draw

4.67

19%

Sassuolo

5.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

10.0%

Home win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

Juventus xG

Total xG

3.01

1.03

Sassuolo xG

59%
21%
19%
JuventusDrawSassuolo

1.68

59%

Home win

4.67

21%

Draw

5.23

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

36%

Juventus

2.80

14%

Sassuolo

7.24

Win to Nil

21%

Juventus

4.71

3%

Sassuolo

37.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 9.8 10.1 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.7 10.0 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.4 6.6 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.2 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.1
5 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.980
λ Away (xG) 1.029
Total xG 3.009
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 1.199
Juventus attack strength 1.425
Juventus defence strength 0.862
Sassuolo attack strength 0.995
Sassuolo defence strength 1.092
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 29