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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

17:00

Venue

Allianz Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

28%

Juventus

3.57

28%

Draw

3.56

44%

Fiorentina

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

Juventus xG

Total xG

2.27

1.30

Fiorentina xG

28%
28%
44%
JuventusDrawFiorentina

3.57

28%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

27%

Juventus

3.65

38%

Fiorentina

2.65

Win to Nil

8%

Juventus

13.04

17%

Fiorentina

6.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 13.4 8.7 3.7 1.2 0.3
1 10.1 13.0 8.5 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 4.9 6.4 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.1
3 1.6 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.2
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.976
λ Away (xG) 1.296
Total xG 2.272
League avg home goals 1.337
League avg away goals 1.332
Juventus attack strength 1.014
Juventus defence strength 0.895
Fiorentina attack strength 1.088
Fiorentina defence strength 0.720
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 54