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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

17:00

Venue

Allianz Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

31%

Juventus

3.21

25%

Draw

3.95

44%

Atalanta

2.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

0 – 1

8.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Juventus xG

Total xG

2.97

1.62

Atalanta xG

31%
25%
44%
JuventusDrawAtalanta

3.21

31%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

2.30

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

20%

Juventus

5.07

26%

Atalanta

3.83

Win to Nil

6%

Juventus

16.27

11%

Atalanta

8.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 8.4 6.8 3.7 1.5 0.5
1 6.9 11.2 9.1 4.9 2.0 0.6
2 4.6 7.5 6.1 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 2.1 3.4 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.343
λ Away (xG) 1.623
Total xG 2.966
League avg home goals 1.175
League avg away goals 1.136
Juventus attack strength 1.416
Juventus defence strength 1.045
Atalanta attack strength 1.367
Atalanta defence strength 0.807
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42