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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 11 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Inter Win

49%

Inter

2.04

28%

Draw

3.63

23%

Napoli

4.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Inter xG

Total xG

2.24

0.86

Napoli xG

49%
28%
23%
InterDrawNapoli

2.04

49%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

4.27

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

42%

Inter

2.37

25%

Napoli

3.98

Win to Nil

21%

Inter

4.82

6%

Napoli

17.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 9.1 3.9 1.1 0.2
1 14.7 12.6 5.4 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 10.1 8.7 3.8 1.1 0.2
3 4.7 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.382
λ Away (xG) 0.861
Total xG 2.243
League avg home goals 1.158
League avg away goals 1.178
Inter attack strength 1.664
Inter defence strength 0.760
Napoli attack strength 0.962
Napoli defence strength 0.717
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56