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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Inter Win

40%

Inter

2.48

28%

Draw

3.54

32%

Lazio

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Inter xG

Total xG

2.51

1.16

Lazio xG

40%
28%
32%
InterDrawLazio

2.48

40%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

31%

Inter

3.20

26%

Lazio

3.84

Win to Nil

13%

Inter

7.95

8%

Lazio

12.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 9.5 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 10.9 12.7 7.4 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 7.4 8.6 5.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.3 3.8 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.346
λ Away (xG) 1.163
Total xG 2.509
League avg home goals 1.207
League avg away goals 1.147
Inter attack strength 1.262
Inter defence strength 0.950
Lazio attack strength 1.068
Lazio defence strength 0.884
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74