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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Inter Win

68%

Inter

1.48

18%

Draw

5.70

15%

Genoa

6.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.8%

Home win

3 – 1

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.46

Inter xG

Total xG

3.53

1.08

Genoa xG

68%
18%
15%
InterDrawGenoa

1.48

68%

Home win

5.70

18%

Draw

6.72

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

34%

Inter

2.94

9%

Genoa

11.66

Win to Nil

23%

Inter

4.35

1%

Genoa

78.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 7.2 7.7 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 8.8 9.5 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 7.2 7.8 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 4.4 4.8 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.1
5 2.2 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.456
λ Away (xG) 1.078
Total xG 3.534
League avg home goals 1.233
League avg away goals 1.200
Inter attack strength 1.726
Inter defence strength 0.934
Genoa attack strength 0.962
Genoa defence strength 1.154
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64