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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 17 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Inter Win

75%

Inter

1.33

14%

Draw

7.00

11%

Cagliari

9.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.5%

Home win

3 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.84

Inter xG

Total xG

3.86

1.01

Cagliari xG

75%
14%
InterDrawCagliari

1.33

75%

Home win

7.00

14%

Draw

9.41

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

74%

Over 2.5

1.35

26%

Under 2.5

3.85

54%

Over 3.5

1.85

46%

Under 3.5

2.17

34%

Over 4.5

2.94

66%

Under 4.5

1.52

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

36%

Inter

2.76

6%

Cagliari

17.17

Win to Nil

27%

Inter

3.67

1%

Cagliari

161.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
1 6.0 6.1 3.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
2 8.5 8.7 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 8.1 8.2 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 5.8 5.8 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 3.3 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.843
λ Away (xG) 1.014
Total xG 3.857
League avg home goals 1.276
League avg away goals 1.167
Inter attack strength 1.730
Inter defence strength 0.970
Cagliari attack strength 0.896
Cagliari defence strength 1.288
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70