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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Thu 15 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

22%

Hellas Verona

4.49

24%

Draw

4.25

54%

Bologna

1.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Hellas Verona xG

Total xG

2.79

1.76

Bologna xG

22%
24%
54%
Hellas VeronaDrawBologna

4.49

22%

Home win

4.25

24%

Draw

1.85

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

17%

Hellas Verona

5.79

35%

Bologna

2.82

Win to Nil

4%

Hellas Verona

25.97

19%

Bologna

5.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 10.7 9.4 5.5 2.4 0.9
1 6.4 11.2 9.8 5.7 2.5 0.9
2 3.3 5.8 5.1 3.0 1.3 0.5
3 1.1 2.0 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.038
λ Away (xG) 1.756
Total xG 2.794
League avg home goals 1.180
League avg away goals 1.157
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.866
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.255
Bologna attack strength 1.209
Bologna defence strength 1.016
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57