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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 9 Mar 2025

11:30

Venue

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

21%

Hellas Verona

4.68

29%

Draw

3.43

49%

Bologna

2.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

0 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

Hellas Verona xG

Total xG

2.59

1.60

Bologna xG

21%
29%
49%
Hellas VeronaDrawBologna

4.68

21%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

2.02

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

20%

Hellas Verona

4.95

37%

Bologna

2.69

Win to Nil

4%

Hellas Verona

23.19

18%

Bologna

5.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 12.0 9.6 5.1 2.0 0.7
1 7.4 11.9 9.5 5.1 2.0 0.6
2 3.7 5.9 4.7 2.5 1.0 0.3
3 1.2 1.9 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.991
λ Away (xG) 1.600
Total xG 2.591
League avg home goals 1.313
League avg away goals 1.228
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.729
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.409
Bologna attack strength 0.924
Bologna defence strength 1.035
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65