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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Fri 20 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

23%

Hellas Verona

4.39

20%

Draw

5.07

57%

AC Milan

1.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.0%

Draw

1 – 3

7.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Hellas Verona xG

Total xG

3.69

2.29

AC Milan xG

23%
20%
57%
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan

4.39

23%

Home win

5.07

20%

Draw

1.74

57%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.48

32%

BTTS No

3.10

Clean Sheet

10%

Hellas Verona

9.89

25%

AC Milan

4.06

Win to Nil

2%

Hellas Verona

43.42

14%

AC Milan

7.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 5.7 6.5 5.0 2.9 1.3
1 3.5 8.0 9.2 7.0 4.0 1.8
2 2.4 5.6 6.4 4.9 2.8 1.3
3 1.1 2.6 3.0 2.3 1.3 0.6
4 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2
5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.401
λ Away (xG) 2.292
Total xG 3.693
League avg home goals 1.329
League avg away goals 1.333
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.986
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.585
AC Milan attack strength 1.085
AC Milan defence strength 1.069
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 53