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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 4 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genoa Win

42%

Genoa

2.40

31%

Draw

3.21

27%

Udinese

3.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Genoa xG

Total xG

2.28

0.99

Udinese xG

42%
31%
27%
GenoaDrawUdinese

2.40

42%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

3.67

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

37%

Genoa

2.70

28%

Udinese

3.61

Win to Nil

15%

Genoa

6.50

8%

Udinese

13.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 10.2 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.1 13.1 6.5 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 8.4 8.4 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.6 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.285
λ Away (xG) 0.995
Total xG 2.280
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.159
Genoa attack strength 0.960
Genoa defence strength 0.931
Udinese attack strength 0.922
Udinese defence strength 1.043
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68