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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 3 Jan 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pisa Win

37%

Genoa

2.71

26%

Draw

3.85

37%

Pisa

2.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Genoa xG

Total xG

2.67

1.34

Pisa xG

37%
26%
37%
GenoaDrawPisa

2.71

37%

Home win

3.85

26%

Draw

2.69

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

26%

Genoa

3.81

26%

Pisa

3.79

Win to Nil

10%

Genoa

10.33

10%

Pisa

10.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 9.3 6.2 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 9.2 12.3 8.3 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 6.1 8.2 5.5 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 2.7 3.7 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.333
λ Away (xG) 1.338
Total xG 2.671
League avg home goals 1.210
League avg away goals 1.102
Genoa attack strength 0.766
Genoa defence strength 1.195
Pisa attack strength 1.016
Pisa defence strength 1.438
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 17