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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

32%

Genoa

3.12

35%

Draw

2.84

33%

Parma

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

15.0%

Away win

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.89

Genoa xG

Total xG

1.80

0.90

Parma xG

32%
35%
33%
GenoaDrawParma

3.12

32%

Home win

2.84

35%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.76

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

40%

Genoa

2.47

41%

Parma

2.44

Win to Nil

13%

Genoa

7.71

13%

Parma

7.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.6 15.0 6.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.8 13.4 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 6.6 6.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
3 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.892
λ Away (xG) 0.904
Total xG 1.796
League avg home goals 1.190
League avg away goals 1.077
Genoa attack strength 0.724
Genoa defence strength 1.154
Parma attack strength 0.728
Parma defence strength 1.035
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44