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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

11:30

Venue

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genoa Win

45%

Genoa

2.24

30%

Draw

3.33

25%

Parma

3.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Genoa xG

Total xG

2.47

1.03

Parma xG

45%
30%
25%
GenoaDrawParma

2.24

45%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

3.95

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

36%

Genoa

2.81

24%

Parma

4.21

Win to Nil

16%

Genoa

6.29

6%

Parma

16.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 8.7 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.2 12.6 6.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.0 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.2 4.3 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.5 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.438
λ Away (xG) 1.032
Total xG 2.470
League avg home goals 1.287
League avg away goals 1.325
Genoa attack strength 0.853
Genoa defence strength 1.028
Parma attack strength 0.758
Parma defence strength 1.311
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 19