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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

17:00

Venue

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

18%

Genoa

5.54

25%

Draw

3.94

57%

Napoli

1.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.3%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

12.0%

Away win

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.76

Genoa xG

Total xG

2.32

1.57

Napoli xG

18%
25%
57%
GenoaDrawNapoli

5.54

18%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

1.77

57%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.38

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

21%

Genoa

4.79

47%

Napoli

2.13

Win to Nil

4%

Genoa

26.54

27%

Napoli

3.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 15.3 12.0 6.3 2.5 0.8
1 7.4 11.6 9.1 4.7 1.9 0.6
2 2.8 4.4 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.2
3 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.758
λ Away (xG) 1.566
Total xG 2.324
League avg home goals 1.307
League avg away goals 1.329
Genoa attack strength 0.813
Genoa defence strength 1.022
Napoli attack strength 1.153
Napoli defence strength 0.713
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54