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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genoa Win

51%

Genoa

1.94

27%

Draw

3.70

21%

Empoli

4.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Genoa xG

Total xG

2.73

1.03

Empoli xG

51%
27%
21%
GenoaDrawEmpoli

1.94

51%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

4.66

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

36%

Genoa

2.80

18%

Empoli

5.45

Win to Nil

18%

Genoa

5.44

4%

Empoli

25.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.7 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.1 11.4 5.9 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.7 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.3 5.5 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.1
4 2.3 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.696
λ Away (xG) 1.030
Total xG 2.726
League avg home goals 1.308
League avg away goals 1.204
Genoa attack strength 0.926
Genoa defence strength 0.883
Empoli attack strength 0.968
Empoli defence strength 1.401
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64