Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Mon 12 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cagliari Win

30%

Genoa

3.33

28%

Draw

3.58

42%

Cagliari

2.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Genoa xG

Total xG

2.32

1.28

Cagliari xG

30%
28%
42%
GenoaDrawCagliari

3.33

30%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

2.38

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

28%

Genoa

3.61

35%

Cagliari

2.82

Win to Nil

8%

Genoa

12.05

15%

Cagliari

6.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 12.6 8.1 3.5 1.1 0.3
1 10.2 13.1 8.4 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 5.3 6.8 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 1.8 2.3 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.038
λ Away (xG) 1.285
Total xG 2.323
League avg home goals 1.163
League avg away goals 1.186
Genoa attack strength 0.772
Genoa defence strength 1.105
Cagliari attack strength 0.980
Cagliari defence strength 1.157
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57