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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 25 Jan 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

28%

Genoa

3.54

26%

Draw

3.89

46%

Bologna

2.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Genoa xG

Total xG

2.62

1.50

Bologna xG

28%
26%
46%
GenoaDrawBologna

3.54

28%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

2.17

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

22%

Genoa

4.50

33%

Bologna

3.06

Win to Nil

6%

Genoa

15.91

15%

Bologna

6.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 10.9 8.2 4.1 1.5 0.5
1 8.1 12.2 9.2 4.6 1.7 0.5
2 4.5 6.8 5.1 2.6 1.0 0.3
3 1.7 2.6 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.119
λ Away (xG) 1.503
Total xG 2.622
League avg home goals 1.186
League avg away goals 1.144
Genoa attack strength 0.900
Genoa defence strength 1.028
Bologna attack strength 1.278
Bologna defence strength 1.048
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59