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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Atalanta Win
12%
8.17
23%
4.26
64%
1.55
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.7%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 2
14.1%
Away win
1 – 1
10.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.64
Genoa xG
Total xG
2.43
1.79
Atalanta xG
GenoaDrawAtalanta
8.17
12%
Home win
4.26
23%
Draw
1.55
64%
Away win
Goals Markets
70%
Over 1.5
1.43
30%
Under 1.5
3.33
44%
Over 2.5
2.27
56%
Under 2.5
1.79
23%
Over 3.5
4.35
77%
Under 3.5
1.30
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.49
60%
BTTS No
1.67
Clean Sheet
17%
5.97
53%
1.90
Win to Nil
2%
48.74
34%
2.96
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.8 | 15.7 | 14.1 | 8.4 | 3.7 | 1.3 |
| 1 | 5.7 | 10.1 | 9.0 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.643
λ Away (xG)
1.786
Total xG
2.429
League avg home goals
1.198
League avg away goals
1.139
Genoa attack strength
0.894
Genoa defence strength
0.993
Atalanta attack strength
1.579
Atalanta defence strength
0.601
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
74 / 74