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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 21 Dec 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Udinese Win

33%

Fiorentina

3.05

26%

Draw

3.87

41%

Udinese

2.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Fiorentina xG

Total xG

2.68

1.43

Udinese xG

33%
26%
41%
FiorentinaDrawUdinese

3.05

33%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

2.41

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

24%

Fiorentina

4.19

29%

Udinese

3.47

Win to Nil

8%

Fiorentina

12.80

12%

Udinese

8.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 9.8 7.1 3.4 1.2 0.3
1 8.6 12.3 8.8 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 5.3 7.6 5.5 2.6 0.9 0.3
3 2.2 3.2 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.245
λ Away (xG) 1.433
Total xG 2.678
League avg home goals 1.217
League avg away goals 1.103
Fiorentina attack strength 0.932
Fiorentina defence strength 1.297
Udinese attack strength 1.001
Udinese defence strength 1.098
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53