Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Mon 23 Dec 2024

17:30

Venue

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

55%

Fiorentina

1.83

23%

Draw

4.43

23%

Udinese

4.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.87

Fiorentina xG

Total xG

3.00

1.13

Udinese xG

55%
23%
23%
FiorentinaDrawUdinese

1.83

55%

Home win

4.43

23%

Draw

4.39

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

32%

Fiorentina

3.09

15%

Udinese

6.48

Win to Nil

18%

Fiorentina

5.64

4%

Udinese

28.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 5.6 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 9.3 10.5 5.9 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.8 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.4 6.1 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.5 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.868
λ Away (xG) 1.127
Total xG 2.995
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.331
Fiorentina attack strength 1.261
Fiorentina defence strength 0.857
Udinese attack strength 0.988
Udinese defence strength 1.100
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 54