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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 26 Apr 2026

11:30

Venue

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

44%

Fiorentina

2.29

28%

Draw

3.60

28%

Sassuolo

3.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Fiorentina xG

Total xG

2.32

1.00

Sassuolo xG

44%
28%
28%
FiorentinaDrawSassuolo

2.29

44%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

3.51

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

37%

Fiorentina

2.73

27%

Sassuolo

3.72

Win to Nil

16%

Fiorentina

6.23

8%

Sassuolo

13.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 9.9 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 12.9 13.0 6.5 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 8.5 8.5 4.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.7 3.7 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.315
λ Away (xG) 1.003
Total xG 2.318
League avg home goals 1.250
League avg away goals 1.136
Fiorentina attack strength 0.955
Fiorentina defence strength 0.905
Sassuolo attack strength 0.976
Sassuolo defence strength 1.102
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 33