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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

37%

Fiorentina

2.70

30%

Draw

3.36

33%

Parma

3.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

0 – 1

12.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Fiorentina xG

Total xG

2.12

1.02

Parma xG

37%
30%
33%
FiorentinaDrawParma

2.70

37%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

3.01

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

36%

Fiorentina

2.78

33%

Parma

3.00

Win to Nil

13%

Fiorentina

7.53

11%

Parma

9.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 12.3 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.2 13.5 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.2 7.4 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 2.6 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.097
λ Away (xG) 1.024
Total xG 2.121
League avg home goals 1.275
League avg away goals 1.190
Fiorentina attack strength 0.995
Fiorentina defence strength 1.056
Parma attack strength 0.815
Parma defence strength 0.865
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65