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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

65%

Fiorentina

1.55

25%

Draw

4.07

11%

Parma

9.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.6%

Home win

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Fiorentina xG

Total xG

2.39

0.61

Parma xG

65%
25%
FiorentinaDrawParma

1.55

65%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

9.26

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.56

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

55%

Fiorentina

1.83

17%

Parma

5.95

Win to Nil

35%

Fiorentina

2.84

2%

Parma

55.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 5.6 1.7 0.3 0.1
1 16.3 9.9 3.0 0.6 0.1
2 14.6 8.8 2.7 0.5 0.1
3 8.7 5.3 1.6 0.3
4 3.9 2.3 0.7 0.1
5 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.784
λ Away (xG) 0.606
Total xG 2.390
League avg home goals 1.272
League avg away goals 1.168
Fiorentina attack strength 1.195
Fiorentina defence strength 0.773
Parma attack strength 0.671
Parma defence strength 1.173
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 31