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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Napoli Win
31%
3.19
26%
3.83
43%
2.35
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.5%
Away win
1 – 2
8.8%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.19
Fiorentina xG
Total xG
2.61
1.43
Napoli xG
FiorentinaDrawNapoli
3.19
31%
Home win
3.83
26%
Draw
2.35
43%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
48%
Over 2.5
2.08
52%
Under 2.5
1.92
27%
Over 3.5
3.70
73%
Under 3.5
1.37
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
53%
BTTS Yes
1.89
47%
BTTS No
2.12
Clean Sheet
24%
4.16
31%
3.28
Win to Nil
8%
13.27
13%
7.70
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3 | 10.5 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 8.7 | 12.4 | 8.8 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.2 | 7.4 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.187
λ Away (xG)
1.426
Total xG
2.613
League avg home goals
1.343
League avg away goals
1.344
Fiorentina attack strength
1.196
Fiorentina defence strength
0.918
Napoli attack strength
1.156
Napoli defence strength
0.738
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
55 / 56