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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Fiorentina Win
42%
2.37
27%
3.76
31%
3.20
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.5%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.0%
Home win
1 – 2
7.6%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.71
Fiorentina xG
Total xG
3.17
1.46
Lecce xG
FiorentinaDrawLecce
2.37
42%
Home win
3.76
27%
Draw
3.20
31%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
39%
Over 3.5
2.56
61%
Under 3.5
1.64
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
64%
BTTS Yes
1.55
36%
BTTS No
2.81
Clean Sheet
23%
4.29
18%
5.53
Win to Nil
10%
10.18
6%
17.69
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2 | 6.1 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.2 | 10.5 | 7.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 9.0 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.5 | 5.1 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.710
λ Away (xG)
1.456
Total xG
3.166
League avg home goals
1.190
League avg away goals
1.050
Fiorentina attack strength
1.153
Fiorentina defence strength
1.375
Lecce attack strength
1.009
Lecce defence strength
1.247
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
47 / 47