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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Mon 13 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

34%

Fiorentina

2.98

33%

Draw

3.03

34%

Lazio

2.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

14.9%

Away win

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Fiorentina xG

Total xG

1.79

0.90

Lazio xG

34%
33%
34%
FiorentinaDrawLazio

2.98

34%

Home win

3.03

33%

Draw

2.99

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

53%

Over 1.5

1.89

47%

Under 1.5

2.13

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.86

65%

BTTS No

1.54

Clean Sheet

41%

Fiorentina

2.45

41%

Lazio

2.45

Win to Nil

14%

Fiorentina

7.31

14%

Lazio

7.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.7 14.9 6.7 2.0 0.4 0.1
1 14.9 13.4 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 6.7 6.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
3 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.896
λ Away (xG) 0.896
Total xG 1.792
League avg home goals 1.267
League avg away goals 1.178
Fiorentina attack strength 0.927
Fiorentina defence strength 0.950
Lazio attack strength 0.800
Lazio defence strength 0.763
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69