Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Juventus Win

33%

Fiorentina

3.03

31%

Draw

3.22

36%

Juventus

2.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Fiorentina xG

Total xG

2.44

1.25

Juventus xG

33%
31%
36%
FiorentinaDrawJuventus

3.03

33%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

2.78

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

29%

Fiorentina

3.49

30%

Juventus

3.28

Win to Nil

9%

Fiorentina

10.59

11%

Juventus

9.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 10.9 6.8 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 10.4 13.0 8.1 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.2 7.7 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.4 3.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.189
λ Away (xG) 1.251
Total xG 2.440
League avg home goals 1.303
League avg away goals 1.211
Fiorentina attack strength 1.078
Fiorentina defence strength 0.944
Juventus attack strength 1.094
Juventus defence strength 0.846
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66