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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Thu 6 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Inter Win

12%

Fiorentina

8.60

23%

Draw

4.40

66%

Inter

1.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

11.2%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.87

Fiorentina xG

Total xG

3.07

2.20

Inter xG

12%
23%
66%
FiorentinaDrawInter

8.60

12%

Home win

4.40

23%

Draw

1.52

66%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

11%

Fiorentina

9.03

42%

Inter

2.39

Win to Nil

1%

Fiorentina

77.60

27%

Inter

3.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 10.2 11.2 8.2 4.5 2.0
1 4.0 8.9 9.8 7.2 3.9 1.7
2 1.8 3.9 4.3 3.1 1.7 0.8
3 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2
4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.873
λ Away (xG) 2.200
Total xG 3.073
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.317
Fiorentina attack strength 1.098
Fiorentina defence strength 1.024
Inter attack strength 1.632
Inter defence strength 0.583
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60