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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

47%

Fiorentina

2.12

26%

Draw

3.78

26%

Hellas Verona

3.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Fiorentina xG

Total xG

2.46

1.01

Hellas Verona xG

47%
26%
26%
FiorentinaDrawHellas Verona

2.12

47%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

3.80

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

36%

Fiorentina

2.74

24%

Hellas Verona

4.25

Win to Nil

17%

Fiorentina

5.81

6%

Hellas Verona

16.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 8.7 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.4 12.5 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.0 9.1 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.3 4.4 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.6 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.447
λ Away (xG) 1.009
Total xG 2.456
League avg home goals 1.248
League avg away goals 1.112
Fiorentina attack strength 0.955
Fiorentina defence strength 1.211
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.749
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.213
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52